Clinical paperNeurophysiological and neuroradiological multimodal approach for early poor outcome prediction after cardiac arrest☆
Introduction
Assessment of the neurologic prognosis of patients surviving cardiac arrest(CA) has grown in importance, and many studies have been published regarding both poor and good long-term functional outcome prediction [1]. Prognosticating outcome after CA is challenging and requires a multimodal approach [2], [3], [4], [5], [6], [7], [8]. Thus, authors have abandoned the previous unimodal approach [9], moving to recent guidelines [8] based on a multimodal prognostication algorithm. In these guidelines, authors suggested that ocular reflexes and somatosensory evoked potentials(SEPs) should be used first, followed by a combination of other predictors: status myoclonus, electroencephalography(EEG), neuron-specific enolase(NSE) and neuroimaging. Despite these recommendations, only a single parameter at a time has been evaluated for neurological prognosis in most of the studies. Only some authors adopted a multimodal strategy [10], [11], [12], [13], [14], [15], [16], [17], with limitations concerning the different aggregation of cerebral performance categories(CPC) scores, for outcome prognostication, and the prognostic tools used. In fact, all these papers analysed different combinations of the suggested clinical and instrumental parameters, and they did not apply a multimodal algorithm. So, given these limitations, we used a different multimodal approach for the prediction of poor long-term functional outcome of comatose CA patients, analysing the grey matter/white matter(GM/WM) ratio by brain computed tomography(CT), SEPs and EEG, all performed in the same patient and within the first 24 h after CA. We evaluated whether the availability of multiple tests on the same patient could better establish poor long-term outcome prediction with higher sensitivity, compared with that of each test taken individually, and whether the simultaneous presence of more than one parameter predicting poor outcome could improve the degree of certainty in a single patient.
Section snippets
Patient selection
From May 2014 onward, all patients admitted to Careggi Teaching Hospital after in-hospital or out-of-hospital CA, successfully resuscitated, were entered into a prospective quality improvement database. The Institutional Review Board of Careggi Teaching Hospital approved retrospective analysis of this database under a waiver of the requirement to obtain informed consent for a minimal risk study. The inclusion criteria were: a) age >14, b) Glasgow Coma Scale(GCS) ≤7 on admission and c) EEG, SEPs
Patient demographics
Table 1 shows the demographic characteristics of the 273 subjects admitted to our hospital (May 2014–March 2017). In 183 of them, all three tests were performed within the first 24 h after CA (Fig. 1). Some of the patients included in the study underwent TTM 33–34 °C (n = 63) or TTM 36 °C (n = 9). Detailed outcomes at discharge and at 6 months are reported in Table 1.
Single-parameter approach at 100% specificity for poor outcome prediction
Distribution of SEP and EEG patterns according to CPC scores is reported in Tables S1 and S2 of Supplementary Data. According to
Discussion
If EEG, SEPs and brain CT are available within the first 24 hours h in patients surviving after CA, it is possible to increase the sensitivity of a poor outcome prediction (CPC = 4–5a,b). In particular, the finding of at least one of the following parameters: grade 2 SEP patterns (AA-AP), GM/WM ratio <1.21 or malignant EEG patterns (isoelectric/burst-suppression) allows the identification of 71.5% of subjects with ominous prognosis compared to the best single predictor (SEPs), which reaches
Limitations
This study has several limitations. First, using the results within 24 h could reduce the sensitivity of EEG and brain CT. Concerning EEG, the suppression pattern also assumes a poor prognostic meaning [21] within 24–72 h after CA. Concerning brain CT, the GM/WM ratio usually decreases over the days following CA, increasing the chance that it becomes <1.21 in a greater number of patients with poor outcome [12]. This lower sensitivity due to the precocity of the evaluation is counterbalanced by
Conclusions
In this population, the combination of EEG, SEPs and brain CT improved the “sensitivity” or the “reliability” of poor outcome prediction in a single patient. The strength of our results is due to our clinical protocol, which reduced the occurrence of self-fulfilling prophecy. In addition, our results are encouraging because the tests we have evaluated are available in most clinical settings. Prospective multi-centre trials are needed to provide a foundation for the use of EEG, SEPs and brain
Conflict of interest statement
The authors have no conflict of interest to report.
Funding sources
Scarpino M. receives research support from the Organizzazione Regionale Toscana Trapianti, and Ministry of Health, Italy, Current Research 2016. A. Grippo A. and Carrai R. receive research support from the Ministry of Health, Italy, Current Research 2016.
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A Spanish translated version of the abstract of this article appears as Appendix in the final online version at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resuscitation.2018.04.016.