Computers in Emergency MedicineAn Electronic Emergency Triage System to Improve Patient Distribution by Critical Outcomes
Introduction
Increasing patient visits and decreasing capacity due to closing facilities has led a growing number of patients to experience significant wait times to receive medical evaluation and treatment (1). Despite the move to early time to a provider, patient triage is necessary to effectively manage excessive volumes of patients and identify patients with critical and time-sensitive conditions (e.g., myocardial ischemia or sepsis) from those with less-urgent needs (e.g., indigestion or minor infections). Although triage decisions are straightforward for very high- or low-severity cases; the projected clinical course for the majority of patients is not obvious. Inability to quickly distinguish significantly ill patients (i.e., under-triage) can delay time-sensitive treatment and lead to deterioration, morbidity, and mortality 2, 3, 4, 5. Over-triaged patients consume limited resources that might be directed more appropriately to those with higher-acuity illness 6, 7. As emergency care demands higher efficiency to manage growing patient volumes, an accurate and evidence-based triage system is required to provide safe and optimal care.
Triage has been a long-standing principle in emergency medicine, but standardized triage tools are relatively new. Canada, Australia, and the United Kingdom have created their own triage instruments and, in the United States, 72% of emergency department (ED) patient visits are assessed using the Emergency Severity Index (ESI) 6, 8, 9, 10, 11. ESI is composed of a series of 3 questions used to assign patients to one of five acuity levels. The ESI triage process relies on experienced nurses' judgments to assess patients according to the following questions: 1) Is the patient dying? 2) Should the patient wait? and 3) How many resources will this patient require? (6) Patients dying are categorized to Level 1 (immediate treatment); patients who should not wait are categorized to Level 2 (emergent treatment); and patients deemed safe to wait are stratified to Levels 3 (urgent treatment) through 5 (nonurgent treatment) based on anticipated resource utilization. Level 3 patients are expected to use the most resources (more than two resources) followed by Level 4 (one resource) and Level 5 (no resources). The triage provider can also re-categorize Level 3 patients up to Level 2, based on abnormal vital signs. ESI has been validated by its developers to outcomes of hospital admission and ED resource use 12, 13, 14, 15. Overall, the ESI tool stratifies patients based on nurses' experience and “sixth sense” for immediacy of medical need and resource utilization (6). Including resource utilization to determine a triage level makes the system unique among modern triage systems.
Although currently in widespread use within the United States, ESI has several shortcomings 14, 16, 17. Foremost, it does not sufficiently discriminate and distribute patients across its five triage levels, with almost half of all ED patients nationally assigned to acuity Level 3 18, 19. This results in patients with a wide range of illness severity clustered to one large group, potentially delaying care to those most severely ill. This seems to counter the true objective of triage by not differentiating a majority of patient visits and, therefore, creates challenges in efficient resource distribution. Next, ESI has not been adequately validated against time-sensitive or critical care outcomes, which are important for an effective triage system. Finally, ESI relies heavily on subjectivity at triage and might be limited by untoward variability that can adversely affect patients through nurse inexperience, human error, or even systemic flaws in triage assessment.
To address these deficiencies, we utilized a large nationally representative sample of ED patient visits to develop an automated, computer-based, electronic triage system (i.e., ETS) designed to improve patient differentiation objectively based on the risk of critical patient outcomes. The ETS uses simple standardized patient information routinely collected at triage to predict risk for critical outcomes and distributes patients among five triage levels based on estimated risk. The ETS and ESI are then evaluated using measures targeted by both the ETS (distribution of patients and risk of critical outcomes) and ESI (risk of inpatient hospitalization and ED resource utilization).
Section snippets
Study Design and Setting
This is a retrospective cohort study of patient visits included in the 2009 National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS). NHAMCS is an annually collected, nationally representative probability sample survey of ED visits conducted by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) National Center for Health Statistics (20). This study utilizes a pre-existing, publicly available, de-identified database; therefore, no additional participant consent or Institutional Review Board
Results
The ETS predicts an ED patient's probability of the composite outcome (mortality, admission to the ICU, or direct transport to the OR or cardiovascular catheterization suite) using routinely available information obtained at ED triage. Of the 97 million ED visits included, 3.3% had the composite outcome (0.5% in-hospital mortality, 2.2% admitted to an ICU, 0.5% transferred to an OR, and 0.1% transferred to a cardiovascular catheterization suite). Factors associated with increased likelihood of
Discussion
The ETS is a newly proposed electronic triage instrument that differentiates patients based on critical and time-sensitive outcomes. It can be easily incorporated into any electronic medical record system and immediately calculate a score once common patient information has been put into the system. The ETS was developed using a nationally representative sample of 97 million ED visits accounting for geographic and facility variability, maximizing its potential for generalized application across
Conclusions
The ETS is a novel electronic triage system that uses commonly obtained triage information to automatically distribute adult ED patients across five severity levels based on critical and time-sensitive outcomes (mortality, admission to the ICU, or direct transport to the OR or cardiovascular catheterization suite). The algorithm was derived and validated using a nationally representative sample of 25,198 adult patient visits (97 million visits weighted) collected by the CDC. Compared to ESI,
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by the Department of Homeland Security (PACER: National Center for Study of Preparedness and Response [2010-ST-061-PA0001]).
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