Original Contribution
Application of cerebral oxygen saturation to prediction of the futility of resuscitation for out-of-hospital cardiopulmonary arrest patients: a single-center, prospective, observational study: Can cerebral regional oxygen saturation predict the futility of CPR?,☆☆,

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajem.2014.02.039Get rights and content

Abstract

Background

Cerebral regional oxygen saturation (rSO2) can be measured immediately and noninvasively just after arrival at the hospital and may be useful for evaluating the futility of resuscitation for a patient with out-of-hospital cardiopulmonary arrest (OHCA). We examined the best practices involving cerebral rSO2 as an indicator of the futility of resuscitation.

Methods

This study was a single-center, prospective, observational analysis of a cohort of consecutive adult OHCA patients who were transported to the University of Tokyo Hospital from October 1, 2012, to September 30, 2013, and whose cerebral rSO2 values were measured.

Results

During the study period, 69 adult OHCA patients were enrolled. Of the 54 patients with initial lower cerebral rSO2 values of 26% or less, 47 patients failed to achieve return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis (optimal cutoff, 26%; sensitivity, 88.7%; specificity, 56.3%; positive predictive value, 87.0%; negative predictive value, 60.0%; area under the curve [AUC], 0.714; P = .0033). The AUC for the initial lower cerebral rSO2 value was greater than that for blood pH (AUC, 0.620; P = .1687) or lactate values (AUC, 0.627; P = .1081) measured upon arrival at the hospital as well as that for initial higher (AUC, 0.650; P = .1788) or average (AUC, 0.677; P = .0235) cerebral rSO2 values. The adjusted odds ratio of the initial lower cerebral rSO2 values of 26% or less for ROSC was 0.11 (95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.63; P = .0129).

Conclusions

Initial lower cerebral rSO2 just after arrival at the hospital, as a static indicator, is associated with non-ROSC. However, an initially lower cerebral rSO2 alone does not yield a diagnosis performance sufficient for evaluating the futility of resuscitation.

Introduction

Out-of-hospital cardiopulmonary arrest (OHCA) has a very poor prognosis, with approximately 120 000, 280 000, and 380 000 victims annually in Japan, Europe, and the United States, respectively [1], [2], [3]. Of these victims, approximately 60% in Europe and 55% in the United States are transferred to hospitals, whereas almost all OHCA patients in Japan are transferred to hospitals [4], [5], [6], [7], [8]. In Japan, nonphysicians are legally prohibited from terminating resuscitation except in specific situations [4], [9], [10], [11], [12].

Although the rate of survival after OHCA has been increasing with advances in care throughout the “chain of survival,” it is still low [13], [14]. In our previous study, which was conducted using a nationwide administrative database in Japan, we found the following outcomes for OHCA patients transferred to hospitals: approximately 75% died within 24 hours after arrival at the hospital, approximately 17% survived more than 24 hours but died during hospitalization, and approximately 8% survived until discharge [4].

Although futile medical care should be avoided, it is very difficult to judge the futility of resuscitation in patients with OHCA. Even if a patient does not leave the hospital alive or develops neurological sequelae, it does not necessarily indicate that the medical care is futile. However, resuscitation efforts for patients who do not achieve sustained return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) may be considered futile. In addition, in Japan, where resuscitation is attempted for almost all patients with OHCA, it is extremely important to be able to identify such patients. The earlier the futility of resuscitation in patients with OHCA can be established, the better it is. A definitive judgment just after hospital arrival is ideal in Japan.

Cerebral regional oxygen saturation (rSO2) is measurable upon arrival at the hospital, and its measurement result can be obtained immediately. In addition, cerebral rSO2 is noninvasive and may be available to judge the futility of resuscitation for patients with OHCA. Although the use of cerebral rSO2 as a prognostic indicator of OHCA has been studied [15], [16], [17], [18], [19], the best practices for use of cerebral rSO2 as a prognostic indicator of OHCA have not been established thus far.

Because rSO2 is affected by the ratio of composition of arteries and veins at the measurement site, even if a patient is measured again using the same timing, the value varies depending on the measurement site. Therefore, rSO2 has been used as a dynamic indicator (relative change) rather than a static indicator (absolute value). One purpose of this study was to examine whether cerebral rSO2 can be used as a static indicator. In addition, it is assumed that the values of cerebral rSO2 measured at several sites may not be equal when cerebral rSO2 is used as a static indicator. This study also aimed to examine whether the lowest, highest, or average value is the best for judging if resuscitation will be futile.

Section snippets

Study design and participants

This study was a single-center, prospective, observational analysis of a cohort of consecutive patients aged 18 years or older with OHCA who were transported to the University of Tokyo Hospital from October 1, 2012, to September 30, 2013, and whose cerebral rSO2 values were measured. Approval for the study was obtained from the Institutional Review Board of the University of Tokyo. The requirement of prior informed patient consent was waived because of the emergency setting. Unless there were

Results

During the study period, 71 adult OHCA patients had cerebral rSO2 measured. Of these patients, 2 were excluded because of lack of blood pH or lactate measurements. Of the remaining 69 patients, we obtained both initial lower and higher cerebral rSO2 values for 63 patients (91.3%), and for 6 patients (8.7%), we obtained only 1 of 2 initial cerebral rSO2 values (Fig.).

Table 1 shows the demographic characteristics of the cohort. Overall, the average patient age was 66.1 years. In addition, 48

Discussion

In this single-center prospective cohort study of OHCA patients whose cerebral rSO2 values were measured, we found that initial lower cerebral rSO2 as a static indicator may help predict the medical futility of resuscitation. The ROC analysis revealed that the initial lower cerebral rSO2 more accurately identified patients with OHCA who could not achieve sustained ROSC than initial higher or average cerebral rSO2. However, the AUC for initial lower cerebral rSO2 regarding the prediction of

Conclusions

Cerebral rSO2 can be measured immediately and noninvasively just after arrival at the hospital and might be used as a static indicator for the prediction of non-ROSC when the initial lower value is used. However, cerebral rSO2 alone does not result in a diagnosis performance that is sufficient for judging the futility of resuscitation. Thus, cerebral rSO2 should be used in combination with other indicators.

Acknowledgments

The authors thank all of the EMS personnel and participating physicians and nurses at The University of Tokyo Hospital.

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      Another study was a multicentre collaboration between USA and United Kingdom28. Regarding the primary outcomes, initial cerebral rSO2 values were reported by 11 studies (1 IHCA26, 9 OHCA22,29–33,35–37 and 1 mixed population8; 5 of these studies were conducted in Japan30,32,36–38, 3 in Europe22,33,35 and 3 in USA8,26,29); the values of overall cerebral rSO2 during CPR were provided by nine studies (5 IHCA12,25–28 and 4 OHCA22,23,29,34; one multicentre study across Europe and USA28, 3 single center studies conducted in Europe22,25,34 and 5 in USA12,23,26,27,29 – none in Japan). No studies clearly reported the exact time between the CA and the first detected cerebral rSO2 value.

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    Contributors: T Fukuda, as the principal investigator, made substantial contributions to idea formation, study design and completion, data collection, management, and analysis, interpretation of results, and drafting and revising the manuscript. N Ohashi, M Nishida, M Gunshin, K Doi, T Matsubara, S Nakajima, and N Yahagi participated in idea formation, data collection and management, and reviewing the manuscript critically for important intellectual content. T Fukuda performed the statistical analysis. All authors approved the final version for publication.

    ☆☆

    Funding sources: This study was supported in part by a grant from the University of Tokyo Hospital.

    Conflict of interest statement: We declare that we have no conflicts of interest.

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